Obvious Things Pundits Have not Figured Out

In case anyone is wondering what’s happening with the Bidens, I can tell you, just from being old and very familiar with the baseness of human beings.

Bill O’Reilly published a big scoop right after the debate. He said Biden had decided to get out of the race, and the administration was delaying while deciding how to announce it.

I looked at that story and wondered why anyone with a hot tip would talk to Bill O’Reilly in 2024. He was a huge player before the scandal, but now he’s limited to Youtube and a personal website where he charges people to find out what he thinks. Like me, he is his own publisher. That’s fine for me, because I am obscure and not respected, but for the former king of news, it’s proof he is no longer an apex predator. These days, it makes no sense for an insider with good information to go to him. Why would you call Bill O’Reilly with red-hot news when you can call Jesse Watters or Sean Hannity?

Maybe bigger personalities got the same call before O’Reilly and turned it down because they considered it unreliable. Maybe O’Reilly took the bait because he can’t be as picky as he used to. People selling news stories often have to shop them around to find the right customers.

Shortly after O’Reilly published his scoop and promised more to follow, The Washington Post published the actual scoop: the Bidens were not giving up. They were holed up at Camp David, and Jill and Hunter were the loudest voices in the crew of what I would call abusers of the elderly. They were pushing Biden to keep going.

O’Reilly then offered a different story and admitted he was guessing.

My personal theory was that Biden would never quit, because his ego defies measurement and he has dementia. Stubborn, arrogant people with sound minds get worse, not better, when they become demented.

So what is on the minds of the Bidens? My theories:

1. Joe is humiliated and shocked. He knew he was slipping, but his handlers protected him from the full impact, as current stories show. They babied him and humored him, like managers of overrated champion prizefighters who haven’t faced any real opponents. oe is flustered, but that monster ego likes what his wife and son are feeding it, so he will keep going until enough powerful left-wingers pile on him to break his will.

Here is a sad video–no sarcasm–which may help people understand what Joe Biden has faced this week. Has it been unbearable for him, or has his staggering array of self-excusing mechanisms managed to keep his pride intact?

2. Like most women, Jill Biden really likes attention, even though First Lady is a position you can get merely by having a heartbeat. She does not want the attention to stop. Vogue just put her on the cover. Because Biden is going to lose the presidency, that will never happen again, but she thinks there is still hope, so she is doing everything she can to avoid becoming an elderly Wilmington housewife who no longer gets invited to national events.

3. Hunter Biden knows he is going to prison eventually, if only for a short time. He won’t go over the gun charge, but after that, he will face other convictions. With his father the bullying president out of the way, even some Democrats may want to investigate the Biden family in order to save face, so we could see charges extending far beyond guns and taxes. It is very unlikely anyone but Biden will pardon Hunter or commute his sentences, and no one but Biden can pressure the executive branch to go easy on him, so Hunter really, really wants Biden to win. Also, Hunter’s only immense source of income is influence-peddling, and he will never be allowed to practice law again, so once Biden is gone, Hunter has no job. No one will buy his paintings, either. At least not for $400,000 each.

4. The rest of the Bidens…see item 3. They are in the same boat as Hunter. Possible investigations and convictions. Abrupt end to influence-peddling.

What if thorough investigations fail to uncover trialworthy evidence of crimes? Hmm. That didn’t help Trump, did it? He committed no fraud, he was found guilty of sexual assault on evidence flimsier than Elvis sightings, he did nothing wrong on January 6, and look where he is. Same things can happen to a Biden who is no longer related to a president, and being tried and winning often bankrupts people.

It’s important to note that Biden never said he would not commute Hunter’s sentence. He never said he wouldn’t pardon him or commute his sentences in other matters. He never said he would go easy on the rest of the family. And he’s a horrible, shameless liar, so it doesn’t matter what he said. He may pardon Hunter on the gun charge.

I believe this is what’s happening.

I think Joe, as a man of influence, will fade quickly after he loses. He is fading now.

People keep saying he’s a decent man and that they like him. Those things are not true. Everyone over the age of 50 (most powerful people) knows Biden. He has been obnoxious all his life, even by politician standards. More recently, in 2022, he said, “No one f___s with a Biden!” Only a bully filled with bad intentions would say a thing like that, threatening people indiscriminately from the office of the presidency (or anywhere else). It’s something a drug kingpin would say.

People do not like Biden, and that includes Democrats. A lot of people, including administration insiders, will be glad to see him exiled to obscurity to have his fangs pulled. I don’t think we’ve had a president this disagreeable since Johnson. Nixon was crooked and vindictive, but he was way smoother about it. He wasn’t a shanty Irish hothead, and he didn’t extend his vengefulness to petty slights involving his family.

Nixon was never accused of influence peddling or funneling money to his worthless relations. He was never accused of going after their detractors. He and his family were not accused of receiving foreign funds in exchange for helping America’s adversaries. His daughter was never paid the price of a home by a Nixon ally for a painting. He was not unpleasant, personally. In these ways, he differs from Biden.

People will still talk to Bush and Obama because they are not senile and can be reasoned with. If you want to deal with them, it is not necessary to confine your conversations to the hours between eleven a.m. and four p.m. It is probably possible to get reasonable access to them instead of wading through layers of Howard-Hughes-style keepers who really run the free world.

Nobody of any significance is going to go through the ordeal of gaining access to an irksome, bullying, incoherent dementia patient who will never hold public office again and may be investigated for treason and bribery.

When nice people become demented, their families hire live-in help and keep them in their houses. People come to their birthday parties. Everyone looks for chances to hug them. When bullies who made people walk on eggs their whole lives fail, they get shunted off to isolation, and everyone breathes a sigh of relief. “When it goeth well with the righteous, the city rejoiceth: and when the wicked perish, there is shouting.”

Maybe I’m wrong, but I have been right sometimes.

I don’t think Democrats can push Biden out of the election. Seems like more than half of them are trying, but the rest are doubling down. It will be a contest of wills. I doubt they can get a behind-the-scenes supermajority.

I believe Hunter and Jill are squeezing Biden like a nearly-empty tube of toothpaste. I’ve seen it before. My sister tried it with both parents. “He’ll be dead soon. We have to go on living. Let’s get what we can.”

I don’t doubt that they love him, but not all love is pure, and rationalization is a hell of a drug.

I hope he stays in the race, because I think there is no way he can win, and if I’m wrong, Harris, who would take over soon, would be a great second choice. She is so unintelligent, she will be unable to function and dominate as president. She will be extremely weak, she will bring shame to her party, and she will cripple downstream Democrat candidates.

They say the other options are Whitmer and Newsom.

Whitmer put an entire state under house arrest. She is a sick, heartless tyrant. She is about as popular as norovirus. I don’t think she will be the candidate, because so many people hate her.

Newsom is slick and oily, and he lies to cameras without a trace of doubt or regret. He was one of the few people with a combination of dishonesty and boldness sufficient to permit him to say Biden won the debate. Most Americans are easy to fool, so ordinarily, he would be a great candidate. His problem is California. Streets full of human manure. Rolling blackouts worthy of a place like Namibia. Junkies turning sidewalks into tent neighborhoods. San Francisco retailers fleeing and leaving upscale shopping neighborhoods vacant. I think it will be hard to get him elected, because his opponents will just have to go to any city in California and shoot honest videos.

If Singapore annexed California, in a month, they would have to start importing canes.

As unpalatable as Whitmer and Newsom are, I would rather see Harris run, because everyone on Earth knows she’s weak and mentally slow. She has been babied all her life, failing upwards all the while. She can’t handle any kind of opposition. She runs. And she is also unable to self-monitor, so she thinks she’s smart. She talks to people much smarter than she is as though she were teaching retarded kids.

To sum up, I believe the Bidens would rather see Joe die than quit. I think Trump will win. I think everyone will start ignoring Joe in mid-November. I believe Hunter will be imprisoned.

Nonetheless, I am confident America and the rest of the world are finished.