Public Awaits Results of Soros Investment

I guess I should say something about the Trump indictment.

First of all, it’s a lot like the sex and/or gender of Aiden and/or Audrey Hale, the young “trans” woman (not “trans woman”) who murdered six people in Tennessee. The similarity is that at the outset, no one knows the facts. It took two days for leftist journalists to correctly determine that Hale was born female and stop calling her a trans woman, and it is taking several days to find out what Alvin Bragg is trying to pin on President Trump. The indictment is sealed. Journalists say there are 34 charges, but no one is telling what they are.

This is obvously important, because no one can issue a researched opinion as to the validity of the charges until the charging documents are released. I assume that will happen at the arraignment, but I don’t know. I do know it will happen very soon.

It’s not even clear whether Trump and his lawyers know what the charges are at this point.

So far, everyone has been under the impression that all the charges related to the payments Trump made to two women with whom he committed adultery. Alan Dershowitz and other legal scholars have derided such charges, citing the clear passing of the statute of limitations, as well as the court’s lack of subject matter jurisdiction over crimes committed as part of federal election campaigns. I bought into this myself, assuming people like Dershowitz knew what Soros-backed DA Alvin Bragg was trying to prove.

Now I’ve learned that the actual charges are unknown, so everything is different. It seems to be a given that Dershowitz is right if Bragg is relying on the theories Dershowitz described. Dershowitz is brilliant, law is not all that hard, and criminal law is generally very simple. But no one can predict how Trump will fare against unknown charges with unknown evidence.

Some people are claiming he will be charged with tax fraud. The problem is that they don’t know what they’re talking about, any more than the rest of us do. I could go on Youtube and tell the world Trump was going to be convicted of running a bordello with its own dogfighting arena, but it wouldn’t make it true. The public doesn’t know whether Trump will be charged with tax fraud.

Maybe he committed some crimes, and maybe he will be convicted and even do time. Maybe he did things we know nothing about. I doubt it, though. The feds abandoned their Trump investigations, as did Bragg’s predecessor, so my best guess is that Bragg has nothing except a weak conscience.

If the court lacks subject matter jurisdiction, or the DA can’t get around the statute of limitations, this case will, or at least should, go away in maybe two months. The Trumptorneys will file a motion to dismiss, and if the law is on Trump’s side, the judge will have to grant it or destroy his own reputation forever. Of course, many judges are corrupt, and many are downright stupid, so they are only a little bit more predictable than ignorant jurors.

If the court fails to grant a valid motion to dismiss, I believe there will be a trial. I don’t know whether New York will allow an interlocutory appeal to get a denial vacated. Ask a New York criminal lawyer. If Trump can appeal before trial, he will succeed in aborting the trial. If he has to wait until afterward, the process will be longer, and he will be campaigning while out on bail, unless the judge is so crazy he refuses to grant bail. In any event, an order that is clearly erroneous will eventually be vacated.

If there are new charges that can survive motions based on the statute of limitations and jurisdictional issues, there will be a trial. It will be impossible to get a fair jury in New York, so Trump will probably be convicted. Then there will be an appeal, and if the trial court has blown it badly enough, the conviction will be reversed.

Trump’s attorneys are in a situation similar to that of a pro-management labor lawyer.

My dad was a union-busting lawyer. When companies have union problems, they go to the National Labor Relations Board before they get to real courts. The NLRB is a biased joke. My dad told me he expected to lose when he appeared before the NLRB. He said he tailored his work to get reversals from appellate courts, which he did, over and over.

Trump’s lawyers are said to be thinking about post-conviction appeal already.

What if Trump is convicted, and the conviction is solid? It may amount to almost nothing. Fines. Unsupervised probation. Community service. Whatever. To put a first-time offender in prison for nonviolent crimes generally requires pretty serious offenses.

To sum up, no one really knows what’s happening. So far, things look very good for President Trump, but that could change when the charges are revealed.

If he’s in trouble for fraud related to his businesses, it should make other New York businessmen shake in their Pradas, especially if they’re conservative. Businessmen commit a lot of minor acts of fraud, and they usually get away with it. Many businessmen are honest, but crooked ones are far from rare. Also, business can be complex and legal cases are full of subjective judgments, so it’s possible for honest businessmen to get in trouble for doing things they thought were legal. If Bragg is now creating a climate in which they are no longer safe, the next few years will be interesting for New Yorkers.

The obvious question: why wasn’t Hillary Clinton indicted? She clearly committed serious crimes, but prosecutors let it go. This is one of the questions that will add heat to America’s pre-civil-war unrest.

I’ll go ahead and guess. I guess that Bragg has nothing of significance. I guess that he will turn out to be a disgrace to his office. But a guess is a guess, and guesses can be wrong.

This is Trump’s third indictment, by the way. An impeachment is an indictment. Trump has beaten two indictments already.

God told me this is a time of sorting. People who call for unity in America are deluded. Division will get worse and worse, and the continuing criminalization of conservatism will be a big part of that. If you’re conservative, white, male, or Christian, the government is not your protector. You need to get close to God if you want anything resembling safety.

I pray for Trump and curse his adversaries with defeat. I hope things go well for him.